The odds of Vice President Kamala Harris being elected as president in November improved noticeably over the past 24 hours according to a number of leading bookmakers, following the publication of a poll putting her two points ahead of Republican candidate Donald Trump in a straight matchup. This shift in perception highlights the dynamic nature of political campaigns, where public sentiment and polling data can rapidly influence the betting odds. As the election approaches, these odds can serve as an informal barometer of a candidate's viability and public support.
On Tuesday morning, betting companies Bet365 and William Hill were offering odds of 7/4 (36.4 percent) on Harris being elected to the White House this year, but this has since been cut to 6/4 (40 percent) for the former and 11/8 (42.1 percent) for the latter as of 5 a.m. ET on Wednesday. Over the same period, the odds of Harris winning in November went from 13/8 (38.1 percent) to 11/8 (42.1 percent) according to Sky Bet, another leading bookmaker. These numbers reflect a growing confidence in her candidacy, especially following recent polling that suggests she has gained a lead over Trump.
Harris emerged as the clear favorite for the Democratic presidential nomination after President Biden announced he was dropping out of the 2024 contest on July 21 and endorsed his vice president. This unexpected turn of events has shifted the landscape of the Democratic primaries, as many voters now view Harris as the leading candidate to take on Trump in the upcoming election. The challenges facing Biden, particularly concerns about his age and cognitive ability, have only further solidified Harris's position within the party.
Tuesday evening saw the publication of a major Ipsos/Reuters poll suggesting Harris is now ahead of Trump in the presidential contest, either in a head-to-head or with independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. included. In a straight matchup, the survey of 1,018 registered voters put Harris on 44 percent against 42 percent for Trump. When Kennedy was included, Harris's lead extended to four points, with the Democrat on 42 percent against 38 percent for Trump and eight percent for the independent. The survey was conducted on July 22 and 23, indicating a significant moment for Harris as she rallies support ahead of the election.
In his endorsement of Harris on Sunday, Biden said: "My very first decision as the party nominee in 2020 was to pick Kamala Harris as my Vice President. And it's been the best decision I've made. Today I want to offer my full support and endorsement for Kamala to be the nominee of our party this year. Democrats — it's time to come together and beat Trump. Let's do this." This endorsement not only boosts Harris's credibility but also illustrates the unity within the Democratic Party as they prepare for the election.
The president is expected to discuss his decision to drop out of the 2024 presidential race further during an address to the American people from the Oval Office at 8 p.m. ET Wednesday. This announcement will likely provide further insights into the dynamics of the race and how Harris plans to position herself as the frontrunner.
Reacting to Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 contest in a post on X, Senator J.D. Vance from Ohio, Trump's running mate, said: "Joe Biden has been the worst President in my lifetime and Kamala Harris has been right there with him every step of the way." This statement highlights the critical view of Harris among some Republican leaders and sets the stage for a contentious election battle.
Speaking to a rally of 3,000 people in the key swing state of Wisconsin on Tuesday, Harris spoke of her past as a former prosecutor, contrasting this with Trump who was convicted on felony charges in May. She emphasized her experience in fighting against various forms of wrongdoing and presented herself as a candidate who understands the needs of the people.
She said: "I took on perpetrators of all kinds. Predators who abused women. Fraudsters who ripped off consumers. Cheaters who broke the rules for their own gain. So hear me when I say I know Donald Trump's type. In this campaign, I promise you, I will proudly put my record against his any day of the week." This strong statement aims to resonate with voters who are looking for a leader with integrity and a commitment to justice.
In a post on his Truth Social media website, Trump criticized Harris's record over illegal immigration adding: "Lyin' Kamala Harris destroys everything she touches!" Trump's comments reflect the ongoing battle between the two candidates as they prepare for the upcoming election.
Newsweek contacted representatives of Vice President Kamala Harris for comment by email on Wednesday outside of usual business hours. This demonstrates the media's role in holding candidates accountable and ensuring that their voices are heard throughout the campaign.
When asked for comment, Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung sent Newsweek odds from betting website Polymarket, which overall gave the Republican candidate a 63 percent chance of victory in November against 34 percent for Harris. These odds indicate that while Harris is gaining traction, there remains a significant degree of uncertainty in the election landscape.
On Tuesday, Tennessee House Republican Andy Ogles introduced
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