An advance unit of North Korean troops may already have been deployed to the front lines in Ukraine to fight for Russia, South Korea's Defense Intelligence Agency announced today. This revelation indicates a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict, as these soldiers are reportedly headed to the Kursk border region where Ukrainian forces have been active. The implications of this move could reshape the dynamics of the war, highlighting an unusual alliance between North Korea and Russia.
This is not the first instance where North Korean troops have been seen on the battlefield, as Brandon Weichert, an expert on the region and author of A Disaster of Our Own Making: How the West Lost Ukraine, noted that small elements of the North Korean military were already operating alongside the Russians in Ukraine as far back as a year ago. Additionally, reports have surfaced indicating that six North Korean soldiers were killed in one of Ukraine's missile strikes, demonstrating the active involvement of these troops in the conflict.
Furthermore, South Korea's National Intelligence Service has suggested that once the current deployment is complete, North Korea plans to send four brigades of light infantry from the 11th Corps, totaling over 12,000 soldiers. Military analyst Bruce Bechtol emphasized that these troops are among the best trained and equipped in the Korean People's Army, indicating that Kim Jong Un is sending his elite forces rather than using them as mere cannon fodder.
While four brigades may not be a "game changer" in the traditional sense, Bechtol points out that the sheer volume of military support from North Korea could significantly impact the war. As of October 2024, he notes, North Korea has supplied half of the shells expended by the Russian army in its conflict with Ukraine—a statistic that underscores the weight of their involvement.
The presence of North Korean troops at the front lines could bring about profound changes in global politics, confirming the alliance of hardline states. Moreover, China has been supporting the Russian war effort since the conflict began, with reports of Chinese "technical advisers" working with the Wagner Group to maintain drones. This raises intriguing questions about whether China is also complicit in supplying troops through North Korea.
Analysts argue that Beijing may be displeased with North Korea's troop deployment. Cho Han-bum from the Korea Institute for National Unification has noted that this action could undermine China's leverage over North Korea. However, the reality is that North Korea's economy is heavily reliant on Chinese support, which means that any independent alliance with Russia is likely to remain limited.
Despite skepticism in American policy circles regarding China's approval of the North Korea-Russia arrangement, evidence suggests that Beijing might actually see benefits in supporting both regimes. As the North Korean leader struggles with economic challenges, the collaboration with Russia may provide a much-needed lifeline, while also allowing China to avoid direct criticism for its involvement.
The growing alignment between China, Russia, and North Korea is evident as these nations join forces against perceived global adversaries. As experts note, this triad of hardline states is now more united than ever, marking a significant moment in geopolitical history that could have implications for years to come.
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